The Three Whisky Happy Hour: Special Happy New Year’s Edition
Since so many of our fellow conservative podcasts are taking the holidays off, we decided to do another special mid-week edition to observe the new year, and gear up for some changes.
Last year’s end of year show featured some low-probability but plausible predictions for 2024 (inspired by the late Wall Street guru Byron Weins’ annual practice, which was often right), and unlike other shows that never track prediction accuracy (like the McLaughlin Group, which had a terrible record once someone checked), we decided to do a scorecard. Steve was 0 for 6; John was 5 for 8 (depending on how you score partial credit); Lucretia didn’t make any new year’s predictions, but pointed out that ALL of her mid-year predictions came true, especially J.D. Vance for running mate.
We offered a few new low-probabilty predictions for 2025, but you’ll have to listen to get them. Steve offers one of his as a teaser: some time in 2025 an elite or major university (could be a state flagship) will fire their president and senior administrators, and bring in a team to “clean house,” which will mean closing whole departments and programs that teach anti-Semitic ideology, and eliminating faculty positions attached to these poisonous programs.
From there we resume our unfinished argment from last week about discrimination and the 14th Amendment, and come to some unsatisfactory conclusions.
Now the news: We’re taking this weekend off from our usual Saturday show, and won’t be back until January 11 or so. We’re going to be re-tooling the podcast with some format changes. Stay tuned for details as they become available!
The Three Whiskey Happy Hour
The Three Whisky Happy Hour: Can You Tariff a Vibe Shift?
Steve Hayward argues that the Supreme Court’s tariff case Friday was a no-lose case for conservatives.

The Three Whisky Happy Hour: Newsom, Clinton, Tigers and Bears Oh My!
John wonders whether the Clinton deposition about Epstein is really sensible, Steve wonders how Gaffen-Gavin Newsom can possible survive this week’s “George Romney Moment," and Lucretia wonders why universities have allowed themselves to be swallowed whole by useless administrators.

Politics

National Civitas Institute Poll: Americans are Anxious and Frustrated, Creating a Challenging Environment for Leaders
The poll reveals a deeply pessimistic American electorate, with a majority convinced the nation is on the wrong track.
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Liberal Democracy Reexamined: Leo Strauss on Alexis de Tocqueville
This article explores Leo Strauss’s thoughts on Alexis de Tocqueville in his 1954 “Natural Right” course transcript.
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Long Distance Migration as a Two-Step Sorting Process: The Resettlement of Californians in Texas
Here we press the question of whether the well-documented stream of migrants relocating from California to Texas has been sufficient to alter the political complexion of the destination state.
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Who's That Knocking? A Study of the Strategic Choices Facing Large-Scale Grassroots Canvassing Efforts
Although there is a consensus that personalized forms of campaign outreach are more likely to be effective at either mobilizing or even persuading voters, there remains uncertainty about how campaigns should implement get-out-the-vote (GOTV) programs, especially at a truly expansive scale.

California’s Green Policies Destroy Blue-Collar Jobs
The problem here lies not with racism, or lack of reparations, as Newsom and “progressives” insist, but with their own policies, which devastate minority communities.

The Ways, Means, and Ends of FDR
David Beito’s "FDR: A New Political Life" could have been subtitled "A New Political Death."

Mamdani’s Audacious Estate Tax for New York
It is up to cooler heads to see that Mamdani's wild ambitions can never be converted into law.




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