
Partisan Trust in the Federal Reserve
This paper examines partisanship in public perceptions of the Federal Reserve.
Abstract
In all years from 2001 through 2023, trust in the Federal Reserve was highest for respondents of the same party as the President. The partisan effects were larger than other demographic differences in trust, but do not explain the large partisan gap in inflation expectations in those years. We conducted a new survey-based information experiment before and after the Presidential inauguration in 2025, and found a changed pattern: Republicans continued to have lower trust in the Fed than did Democrats, even after a Republican President was elected and took office. Yet, Republicans had much lower inflation expectations than Democrats. Responses to open-ended survey questions point to tariffs and President Trump himself as most salient to consumers when considering how inflation will evolve.
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This paper was originally published as part of the National Bureau of Economic Research working paper series.
Economic Dynamism

The Price of Stagnation: Britain’s Retreat from Dynamism
We face a basic issue: we do not let cities or communities grow or die.
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London and the Architecture of Creative Growth
Preserving London's creative dynamism will require humility from policymakers and a commitment to keeping the city liveable.
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Lina Khan’s Continued Influence on the FTC
Consumer welfare and the U.S. business climate are especially subject to the blows dealt at the FTC.
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