
Automated Detection of Emotion in Central Bank Communication: A Warning
Can LLMs help us better understand the role of emotion in central bank communication?
Abstract
Central banks have increased their official communications. Previous literature measures complexity, clarity, tone and sentiment. Less explored is the use of fact versus emotion in central bank communication. We test a new method for classifying factual versus emotional language, applying a pretrained transfer learning model, fine-tuned with manually coded, task-specific and domain-specific data sets. We find that the large language models outperform traditional models on some occasions; however, the results depend on a number of choices. We therefore caution researchers from depending solely on such models even for tasks that appear similar. Our findings suggest that central bank communications are not only technically but also subjectively difficult to understand.
Economic Dynamism

AI and the Future of Society and Economy
Large language and generative AI models like ChatGPT are the equivalent of the first automobiles: fun to play with, somewhat unreliable, and maybe a little dangerous. But over time, the lesson for will be clear: Who Learns Fastest, Wins.

Defending Technological Dynamism & the Freedom to Innovate in the Age of AI
Human flourishing, economic growth, and geopolitical resilience requires innovation—especially in artificial intelligence.

How We Built the Arsenal of Democracy
By unleashing the energy, creativity, and drive of the private sector to rebuild our defense-industrial base, we can trigger a tech-industrial revival of the American economy.

The $130 Billion Train That Couldn’t
California’s High Speed Rail is only the latest blue-state infrastructure failure.

Slowly Strangling the Pharmaceutical Industry
Unlike many private uses of monopoly power, a government monopoly, backed by state force, can last a long time.

The Hidden Cost of Federal Deficit Spending
We face a much more troubling debt problem than we’ve ever experienced in American history, and addressing it can only be achieved with significant entitlement program reform.