Understanding the Effect of Abortion Attitudes on Elections After Dobbs: Evidence from Cross-Sectional and Panel Surveys in Texas
In this article, we analyze surveys that tracked voter attitudes on abortion policy before and after the Dobbs decision.
Among its many consequential effects, the U.S. Supreme Court's 6 to 3 decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, on June 24, 2022, changed the context for how the public assesses responsibility for regulating abortion access. In the wake of the ruling, public policy responses by states will undoubtedly test existing theories of public opinion and vote choice. Given the presumed connection between policy positions and partisan vote choice, it is especially important for political scientists to assess the extent to which “de-nationalizing” abortion policy changes the salience and electoral import of the issue. In this article, we focus on a specific element of this broader assessment: to what extent does the public holds incumbents accountable for enacting policies that differ from other states or from what the national policy used to be?
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This paper was originally published by Social Science Quarterly
Politics
National Civitas Institute Poll: Americans are Anxious and Frustrated, Creating a Challenging Environment for Leaders
The poll reveals a deeply pessimistic American electorate, with a majority convinced the nation is on the wrong track.
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Liberal Democracy Reexamined: Leo Strauss on Alexis de Tocqueville
This article explores Leo Strauss’s thoughts on Alexis de Tocqueville in his 1954 “Natural Right” course transcript.
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Long Distance Migration as a Two-Step Sorting Process: The Resettlement of Californians in Texas
Here we press the question of whether the well-documented stream of migrants relocating from California to Texas has been sufficient to alter the political complexion of the destination state.
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Who's That Knocking? A Study of the Strategic Choices Facing Large-Scale Grassroots Canvassing Efforts
Although there is a consensus that personalized forms of campaign outreach are more likely to be effective at either mobilizing or even persuading voters, there remains uncertainty about how campaigns should implement get-out-the-vote (GOTV) programs, especially at a truly expansive scale.
Opinion Why Californians are leaving — and what Gavin Newsom is spending $19M to hide
Californians know better: Newsom is a failed governor.
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Another Reason for Regime Change: Iran’s Flagrant Assault on the Rules of War
The rules of war are not complicated. Militaries may strike military targets. Militaries may not deliberately target civilians or threaten the commerce of neutral nations.
The Iran War and the Future of the American Right
Politics in America is never settled, and the shape and depth of the conservative movement, and its influence on the GOP, is no exception.
